Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 20.996943 24.624944 29.060493 35.010149 42.993153 53.674084 69.701259
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 16.847052 21.005895 26.623059 35.138651 48.503584 70.371911 113.754670
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 14.643553 19.012009 25.326853 35.792751 54.391903 90.783535 187.787585
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 12.702534 16.909377 23.257058 34.416101 56.060564 104.694505 274.678391
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 11.512811 15.672217 22.197876 34.324618 59.978175 126.901727 459.507381
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 10.288959 14.198035 20.480066 32.571823 59.661170 138.262774 668.423104
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.186717 12.784737 18.654629 30.209427 57.088439 141.036072 867.598223
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.341364 11.697671 17.248940 28.405372 55.296067 145.596482 1188.054192
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.543886 12.322513 18.898601 33.203395 72.980608 258.360155 40496.503088
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.344156 12.245662 19.257238 35.323217 84.737881 388.336084 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.732019 11.398905 18.044739 33.486558 82.335193 409.332942 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.513163 11.222501 18.112681 34.797117 92.317997 608.555985 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.101138 10.692755 17.466566 34.302453 95.728155 786.057381 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.765256 10.275051 17.003922 34.212290 101.163504 1113.860134 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.521557 10.004625 16.811818 34.824365 110.748723 1931.049518 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.151150 9.470231 16.001897 33.501552 109.522922 2359.976838 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.907154 9.156450 15.635360 33.413606 115.384708 4152.659947 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 5.569535 8.644050 14.789560 31.729253 110.736336 4486.882947 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 5.213253 8.079288 13.791834 29.456297 101.554466 3591.641547 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.917253 7.617358 12.994785 27.718298 95.229864 3245.609146 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 5.073328 8.028527 14.165244 32.336362 135.172735 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 5.038141 8.063836 14.490334 34.372428 162.556813 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 4.793605 7.668746 13.769596 32.608484 153.359368 NaN NaN